"Fighting among the winners. History shows us that after the fight for power in which the common enemy is defeated, those who united against the common enemy typically fight among themselves for power and those in the losing party do the same as they plan their next attack. I call this the “purge” state of the balance of power dynamic.
It has happened in all cases, with the Reign of Terror in France and the Red Terror in the Soviet Union being the most well-known.
In these cases, the people involved were in the same parties until they overthrew their common enemy and then they fought each other viciously.
Similarly, the united front of Chinese communists and nationalists that fought the Japanese in the war immediately battled each other for power when the war was over…We should always watch whether the factions within the same parties are inclined to fight each other for control of their parties."
(Formatting mine)
Ray Dalio
Published: Oct 17, 2024
Ray Dalio's book, The Changing World Order, is a book about how empires rise and fall. He's studied western history back 500 years and Chinese history back even farther.
I really respect his opinion.
His take is, after a contentious election, like the one we just went through, the new administration always enacts a purge of the old government.
Not only will everyone on the opposing side be ostracised from power, but also there will be significant infighting on the winning team.
Everyone will be attempting to prove they are loyal to the new leader and outing those whose opinions and thoughts weren't 100% in line with leadership.
I suspect the next 4 years to be even more polarizing than Trumps first term.
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